gameindustrytrends

itch.ioRank 26112026-11-05

I See a Butterfly

by Joonas

Open on itch.io

Velocity

-0.050

I See a Butterfly Velocity, last 14 days: falling across 14 days, 0.02 to -0.05 (low -0.05, high 0.05).

Confidence 20%

Confidence is the share of Velocity’s four components that could be measured for this game, scaled down again when there is less than a fortnight to measure over. Here, ratings had a measurable acceleration on 2026-11-05. Topic views and comments did not. We also have itch.io chart positions for it, which is the fourth component. It was observed on 14 of the last 14 days. How this is computed.

Which counter moved first

Lead and lag

30 days

Not enough of the ladder to compare.

Only ratings could be plotted, so there is no second counter to compare the timing against.

Lead and lag for I See a Butterfly, 30 daysLead and lag over 30 days, 2026-10-07 to 2026-11-05, each series scaled to its own change so the timing can be compared. Not enough of the ladder to compare. Ratings: 41 to 42, up 1, most of that change came late in the window.100%50%0%-100%Oct 7Nov 5Ratings

Each line is scaled to its own change across these 30 days, so counters that differ by orders of magnitude can be compared by shape. The vertical gap is what matters: a line higher on the left took its change earlier. The real counts are in the legend, and the day-by-day numbers are below. The axis runs past its ends because a counter went beyond its final value inside the window and came back — a deleted comment, a withdrawn rating. The scale is widened rather than the curve clipped, so the round trip stays visible.

Series — over Oct 7 to Nov 5

  • Ratings — people finished and cared4142+1
  • Topic views are not recorded for this game, so that rung is unmeasured — not zero.
  • Comments are not recorded for this game, so that rung is unmeasured — not zero.
The numbers behind the chart

The counter as we recorded it that day, and beside it the share of the window’s change it had reached — the value the chart plots.

DayRatings
Oct 741
Oct 841
Oct 941
Oct 1040
Oct 1140
Oct 1240
Oct 1340
Oct 1440
Oct 1540
Oct 1640
Oct 1740
Oct 1840
Oct 1940
Oct 2040
Oct 2140
Oct 2240
Oct 2340
Oct 2441
Oct 2541
Oct 2642
Oct 2742
Oct 2842
Oct 2942
Oct 3042
Oct 3142
Nov 142
Nov 242
Nov 342
Nov 442
Nov 542
What the platform publishes

Counters

Read 2026-11-05
CounterNow7d30d
Ratings conversion420+1

A blank change is not a zero: the scoring pass refuses a window whose nearest observation is too stale to compare, rather than differencing two points that are not seven days apart.

Not our number

On itch.io's own charts

On 8 tag charts
ChartNow7d30dHistory
Top rated · #black-and-white1270+3Position on itch.io's Top rated · #black-and-white chart across 63 readings: climbing, #133 to #127 (best #126, worst #136).
Top rated · #surreal469-2+20Position on itch.io's Top rated · #surreal chart across 57 readings: climbing, #504 to #469 (best #466, worst #504).
Top rated · #experimental599-2+37Position on itch.io's Top rated · #experimental chart across 59 readings: climbing, #643 to #599 (best #596, worst #646).
Top rated · #mystery968-3+38Position on itch.io's Top rated · #mystery chart across 58 readings: climbing, #1010 to #968 (best #954, worst #1015).
Top rated · #creepy1,092-7+61Position on itch.io's Top rated · #creepy chart across 60 readings: climbing, #1173 to #1092 (best #1083, worst #1175).
Top rated · #psychological-horror1,273-13+62Position on itch.io's Top rated · #psychological-horror chart across 57 readings: climbing, #1319 to #1273 (best #1254, worst #1341).
Top rated · #narrative1,351+1+69Position on itch.io's Top rated · #narrative chart across 51 readings: climbing, #1428 to #1351 (best #1346, worst #1434).
Top rated · #horror3,573+72Position on itch.io's Top rated · #horror chart across 6 readings: slipping, #3529 to #3573 (best #3529, worst #3649).
Everything else we hold

Activity and where to go next

First seen by us
2026-08-30
Price
free
Average rating
4.43 / 5

No devlog has been posted since we started watching on 2026-08-30. itch.io publishes only the most recent devlog date, so anything posted before then leaves no trace here.

Go to the source

We hold counters and metadata only. Nothing on the game’s own page — its description, its screenshots, its build — is republished here, and everything worth reading about it is behind those links.