gameindustrytrends

itch.ioRank 13772026-10-10

Pale Carnations18+

by Mutt & Jeff

Open on itch.io

Velocity

-0.001

Pale Carnations Velocity, last 14 days: rising across 14 days, -0.00 to -0.00 (low -0.00, high 0.00).

Confidence 20%

Confidence is the share of Velocity’s four components that could be measured for this game, scaled down again when there is less than a fortnight to measure over. Here, ratings had a measurable acceleration on 2026-10-10. Topic views and comments did not. We also have itch.io chart positions for it, which is the fourth component. It was observed on 13 of the last 14 days. How this is computed.

Which counter moved first

Lead and lag

30 days

Not enough of the ladder to compare.

Only ratings could be plotted, so there is no second counter to compare the timing against.

Lead and lag for Pale Carnations, 30 daysLead and lag over 30 days, 2026-09-11 to 2026-10-10, each series scaled to its own change so the timing can be compared. Not enough of the ladder to compare. Ratings: 1,281 to 1,304, up 23, the change came at a steady pace.100%50%0%Sep 11Oct 10Ratings

Each line is scaled to its own change across these 30 days, so counters that differ by orders of magnitude can be compared by shape. The vertical gap is what matters: a line higher on the left took its change earlier. The real counts are in the legend, and the day-by-day numbers are below.

Series — over Sep 11 to Oct 10

  • Ratings — people finished and cared1,2811,304+23
  • Topic views are not recorded for this game, so that rung is unmeasured — not zero.
  • Comments are not recorded for this game, so that rung is unmeasured — not zero.
The numbers behind the chart

The counter as we recorded it that day, and beside it the share of the window’s change it had reached — the value the chart plots.

DayRatings
Sep 111,281
Sep 121,283
Sep 131,283
Sep 141,284
Sep 151,285
Sep 161,288
Sep 171,289
Sep 181,289
Sep 191,290
Sep 201,290
Sep 211,291
Sep 221,292
Sep 231,292
Sep 241,292
Sep 251,293
Sep 261,293
Sep 271,293
Sep 281,294
Sep 291,294
Sep 301,297
Oct 11,298
Oct 21,298
Oct 31,299
Oct 41,299
Oct 51,300
Oct 61,301
Oct 71,302
Oct 81,303
Oct 91,304
Oct 101,304
What the platform publishes

Counters

Read 2026-10-10
CounterNow7d30d
Ratings conversion1,304+5+23

A blank change is not a zero: the scoring pass refuses a window whose nearest observation is too stale to compare, rather than differencing two points that are not seven days apart.

Not our number

On itch.io's own charts

On 3 tag charts
ChartNow7d30dHistory
Top rated · #eroge13-1+2Position on itch.io's Top rated · #eroge chart across 34 readings: slipping, #12 to #13 (best #12, worst #15).
Top rated · #adult51-1+1Position on itch.io's Top rated · #adult chart across 52 readings: holding, #51 to #51 (best #50, worst #53).
Top rated · #erotic52-10Position on itch.io's Top rated · #erotic chart across 33 readings: slipping, #51 to #52 (best #51, worst #53).
Everything else we hold

Activity and where to go next

First seen by us
2026-08-20
Price
free
Average rating
4.73 / 5

Last devlog 2025-01-10 — 638 days ago. That was already the most recent devlog when we started watching on 2026-08-20, so there is no cadence to read from it yet. The platform publishes only the most recent devlog date, so this is a floor rather than the project’s history.

Go to the source

We hold counters and metadata only. Nothing on the game’s own page — its description, its screenshots, its build — is republished here, and everything worth reading about it is behind those links.