gameindustrytrends

itch.ioRank 11292026-11-06

Educated Guess

by Playcebo

Open on itch.io

Velocity

0.000

Educated Guess Velocity, last 14 days: flat across 14 days, 0.00 to 0.00 (low 0.00, high 0.00).

Confidence 20%

Confidence is the share of Velocity’s four components that could be measured for this game, scaled down again when there is less than a fortnight to measure over. Here, ratings had a measurable acceleration on 2026-11-06. Topic views and comments did not. We also have itch.io chart positions for it, which is the fourth component. It was observed on 14 of the last 14 days. How this is computed.

Which counter moved first

Lead and lag

30 days

Not enough of the ladder to compare.

Only ratings could be plotted, so there is no second counter to compare the timing against.

Lead and lag for Educated Guess, 30 daysLead and lag over 30 days, 2026-10-08 to 2026-11-06, each series scaled to its own change so the timing can be compared. Not enough of the ladder to compare. Ratings: 49 throughout, no change at all.100%50%0%Oct 8Nov 6Ratings

Each line is scaled to its own change across these 30 days, so counters that differ by orders of magnitude can be compared by shape. The vertical gap is what matters: a line higher on the left took its change earlier. The real counts are in the legend, and the day-by-day numbers are below.

Series — over Oct 8 to Nov 6

  • Ratings — people finished and cared49490
  • Topic views are not recorded for this game, so that rung is unmeasured — not zero.
  • Comments are not recorded for this game, so that rung is unmeasured — not zero.
The numbers behind the chart

The counter as we recorded it that day, and beside it the share of the window’s change it had reached — the value the chart plots.

DayRatings
Oct 849
Oct 949
Oct 1049
Oct 1149
Oct 1249
Oct 1349
Oct 1449
Oct 1549
Oct 1649
Oct 1749
Oct 1849
Oct 1949
Oct 2049
Oct 2149
Oct 2249
Oct 2349
Oct 2449
Oct 2549
Oct 2649
Oct 2749
Oct 2849
Oct 2949
Oct 3049
Oct 3149
Nov 149
Nov 249
Nov 349
Nov 449
Nov 549
Nov 649
What the platform publishes

Counters

Read 2026-11-06
CounterNow7d30d
Ratings conversion4900

A blank change is not a zero: the scoring pass refuses a window whose nearest observation is too stale to compare, rather than differencing two points that are not seven days apart.

Not our number

On itch.io's own charts

On 5 tag charts
ChartNow7d30dHistory
Top rated · #wordle800Position on itch.io's Top rated · #wordle chart across 58 readings: slipping, #7 to #8 (best #7, worst #8).
Top rated · #word-game360-1Position on itch.io's Top rated · #word-game chart across 58 readings: slipping, #29 to #36 (best #28, worst #36).
Top rated · #dreams890-3Position on itch.io's Top rated · #dreams chart across 61 readings: slipping, #78 to #89 (best #74, worst #89).
Top rated · #difficult269+1-4Position on itch.io's Top rated · #difficult chart across 61 readings: slipping, #237 to #269 (best #222, worst #270).
Top rated · #creepy869-4-13Position on itch.io's Top rated · #creepy chart across 61 readings: slipping, #759 to #869 (best #727, worst #869).
Everything else we hold

Activity and where to go next

First seen by us
2026-09-07
Price
free
Average rating
4.49 / 5

No devlog has been posted since we started watching on 2026-09-07. itch.io publishes only the most recent devlog date, so anything posted before then leaves no trace here.

Go to the source

We hold counters and metadata only. Nothing on the game’s own page — its description, its screenshots, its build — is republished here, and everything worth reading about it is behind those links.