gameindustrytrends

itch.ioRank 12652026-10-17

First Winter

by Dan Sanderson

Open on itch.io

Velocity

0.000

First Winter Velocity, last 14 days: flat across 14 days, 0.00 to 0.00 (low 0.00, high 0.00).

Confidence 20%

Confidence is the share of Velocity’s four components that could be measured for this game, scaled down again when there is less than a fortnight to measure over. Here, ratings had a measurable acceleration on 2026-10-17. Topic views and comments did not. We also have itch.io chart positions for it, which is the fourth component. It was observed on 14 of the last 14 days. How this is computed.

Which counter moved first

Lead and lag

30 days

Not enough of the ladder to compare.

Only ratings could be plotted, so there is no second counter to compare the timing against.

Lead and lag for First Winter, 30 daysLead and lag over 30 days, 2026-09-18 to 2026-10-17, each series scaled to its own change so the timing can be compared. Not enough of the ladder to compare. Ratings: 138 throughout, no change at all.100%50%0%Sep 18Oct 17Ratings

Each line is scaled to its own change across these 30 days, so counters that differ by orders of magnitude can be compared by shape. The vertical gap is what matters: a line higher on the left took its change earlier. The real counts are in the legend, and the day-by-day numbers are below.

Series — over Sep 18 to Oct 17

  • Ratings — people finished and cared1381380
  • Topic views are not recorded for this game, so that rung is unmeasured — not zero.
  • Comments are not recorded for this game, so that rung is unmeasured — not zero.
The numbers behind the chart

The counter as we recorded it that day, and beside it the share of the window’s change it had reached — the value the chart plots.

DayRatings
Sep 18138
Sep 19138
Sep 20138
Sep 21138
Sep 22138
Sep 23138
Sep 24138
Sep 25138
Sep 26138
Sep 27138
Sep 28138
Sep 29138
Sep 30138
Oct 1138
Oct 2138
Oct 3138
Oct 4138
Oct 5138
Oct 6138
Oct 7138
Oct 8138
Oct 9138
Oct 10138
Oct 11138
Oct 12138
Oct 13138
Oct 14138
Oct 15138
Oct 16138
Oct 17138
What the platform publishes

Counters

Read 2026-10-17
CounterNow7d30d
Ratings conversion13800

A blank change is not a zero: the scoring pass refuses a window whose nearest observation is too stale to compare, rather than differencing two points that are not seven days apart.

Not our number

On itch.io's own charts

Categories

ChartNow7d30dHistory
Top sellers · Adventure821-33-18Position on itch.io's Top sellers · Adventure chart across 50 readings: slipping, #754 to #821 (best #754, worst #845).
Top rated · Adventure969+28-16Position on itch.io's Top rated · Adventure chart across 50 readings: slipping, #952 to #969 (best #948, worst #1000).

All of itch.io

ChartNow7d30dHistory
Top sellers3,660-283-370Position on itch.io's Top sellers chart across 59 readings: slipping, #3274 to #3660 (best #3121, worst #3660).
Top rated5,278-30-100Position on itch.io's Top rated chart across 59 readings: slipping, #5106 to #5278 (best #5106, worst #5308).
On 3 tag charts
ChartNow7d30dHistory
Top rated · #altgame2100Position on itch.io's Top rated · #altgame chart across 58 readings: holding, #21 to #21 (best #21, worst #21).
Top rated · #retro562-2-16Position on itch.io's Top rated · #retro chart across 39 readings: slipping, #548 to #562 (best #545, worst #562).
Top rated · #horror1,107-6-25Position on itch.io's Top rated · #horror chart across 39 readings: slipping, #1078 to #1107 (best #1075, worst #1158).
Everything else we hold

Activity and where to go next

First seen by us
2026-08-20
Price
free
Average rating
4.54 / 5

No devlog has been posted since we started watching on 2026-08-20. itch.io publishes only the most recent devlog date, so anything posted before then leaves no trace here.

Go to the source

We hold counters and metadata only. Nothing on the game’s own page — its description, its screenshots, its build — is republished here, and everything worth reading about it is behind those links.