gameindustrytrends

itch.ioRank 9762026-10-17

Paper Lily - Chapter 1

by Leef 6010

Open on itch.io

Velocity

+0.002

Paper Lily - Chapter 1 Velocity, last 14 days: rising across 14 days, 0.00 to 0.00 (low -0.00, high 0.00).

Confidence 50%

Confidence is the share of Velocity’s four components that could be measured for this game, scaled down again when there is less than a fortnight to measure over. Here, comments and ratings had a measurable acceleration on 2026-10-17. Topic views did not. We also have itch.io chart positions for it, which is the fourth component. It was observed on 14 of the last 14 days. How this is computed.

Which counter moved first

Lead and lag

30 days

No ordering to read here.

Across this window, comments moved by 1, under its floor of 20; ratings moved by 11, under its floor of 20. Timing two counters against each other needs both of them to have risen, by more than the floor this page sets for that counter so a handful of events cannot read as an ordering, and to have stayed between their own start and end values — a counter that went past one of those and came back has no share of its change to time. The shapes are drawn; which of them moved first is not claimed.

Lead and lag for Paper Lily - Chapter 1, 30 daysLead and lag over 30 days, 2026-09-18 to 2026-10-17, each series scaled to its own change so the timing can be compared. No ordering to read here. Comments: 900 to 901, up 1, most of that change came late in the window. Ratings: 1,128 to 1,139, up 11, most of that change came late in the window.100%50%0%-100%Sep 18Oct 17CommentsRatings

Each line is scaled to its own change across these 30 days, so counters that differ by orders of magnitude can be compared by shape. The vertical gap is what matters: a line higher on the left took its change earlier. The real counts are in the legend, and the day-by-day numbers are below. The axis runs past its ends because a counter went beyond its final value inside the window and came back — a deleted comment, a withdrawn rating. The scale is widened rather than the curve clipped, so the round trip stays visible.

Series — over Sep 18 to Oct 17

  • Comments — people are talking900901+1
  • Ratings — people finished and cared1,1281,139+11
  • Topic views are not recorded for this game, so that rung is unmeasured — not zero.
The numbers behind the chart

The counter as we recorded it that day, and beside it the share of the window’s change it had reached — the value the chart plots.

DayCommentsRatings
Sep 189001,128
Sep 199001,129
Sep 209001,129
Sep 219001,130
Sep 229001,128
Sep 238991,128
Sep 248991,128
Sep 258991,129
Sep 268991,129
Sep 278991,129
Sep 288991,129
Sep 298991,130
Sep 308991,130
Oct 18991,130
Oct 28991,130
Oct 38991,130
Oct 49001,131
Oct 58991,131
Oct 68991,131
Oct 78991,131
Oct 88991,132
Oct 98991,132
Oct 108991,133
Oct 118991,136
Oct 129011,138
Oct 139011,138
Oct 149011,138
Oct 159011,138
Oct 169011,139
Oct 179011,139
What the platform publishes

Counters

Read 2026-10-17
CounterNow7d30d
Comments intent901+2+1
Ratings conversion1,139+6+11

A blank change is not a zero: the scoring pass refuses a window whose nearest observation is too stale to compare, rather than differencing two points that are not seven days apart.

Not our number

On itch.io's own charts

Categories

ChartNow7d30dHistory
Top rated · Adventure800Position on itch.io's Top rated · Adventure chart across 50 readings: climbing, #9 to #8 (best #8, worst #9).
Top rated · Rpg800Position on itch.io's Top rated · Rpg chart across 50 readings: holding, #8 to #8 (best #8, worst #8).
Top rated · Puzzle100-1Position on itch.io's Top rated · Puzzle chart across 50 readings: slipping, #9 to #10 (best #9, worst #10).
Top sellers · Rpg330-20-3Position on itch.io's Top sellers · Rpg chart across 50 readings: slipping, #154 to #330 (best #68, worst #330).
Top sellers · Puzzle354-9-21Position on itch.io's Top sellers · Puzzle chart across 50 readings: slipping, #138 to #354 (best #61, worst #361).
Top sellers · Adventure723-26-18Position on itch.io's Top sellers · Adventure chart across 50 readings: slipping, #305 to #723 (best #132, worst #756).

All of itch.io

ChartNow7d30dHistory
Top rated63+1-1Position on itch.io's Top rated chart across 59 readings: holding, #63 to #63 (best #62, worst #64).
Top sellers3,317-278-370Position on itch.io's Top sellers chart across 58 readings: slipping, #2941 to #3317 (best #550, worst #3317).
On 7 tag charts
ChartNow7d30dHistory
Top rated · #rpgmaker500Position on itch.io's Top rated · #rpgmaker chart across 39 readings: holding, #5 to #5 (best #5, worst #5).
Top rated · #anime800Position on itch.io's Top rated · #anime chart across 57 readings: holding, #8 to #8 (best #8, worst #8).
Top rated · #pixel-art1000Position on itch.io's Top rated · #pixel-art chart across 39 readings: holding, #10 to #10 (best #10, worst #10).
Top rated · #cute1400Position on itch.io's Top rated · #cute chart across 41 readings: holding, #14 to #14 (best #14, worst #14).
Top rated · #story-rich15+1-1Position on itch.io's Top rated · #story-rich chart across 39 readings: slipping, #14 to #15 (best #14, worst #16).
Top rated · #2d1700Position on itch.io's Top rated · #2d chart across 59 readings: climbing, #18 to #17 (best #17, worst #18).
Top rated · #horror18+10Position on itch.io's Top rated · #horror chart across 39 readings: climbing, #19 to #18 (best #17, worst #19).
Everything else we hold

Activity and where to go next

First seen by us
2026-08-20
Price
free
Average rating
4.92 / 5

Last devlog 2026-04-28 — 172 days ago. That was already the most recent devlog when we started watching on 2026-08-20, so there is no cadence to read from it yet. The platform publishes only the most recent devlog date, so this is a floor rather than the project’s history.

Go to the source

We hold counters and metadata only. Nothing on the game’s own page — its description, its screenshots, its build — is republished here, and everything worth reading about it is behind those links.