gameindustrytrends

itch.ioRank 25112026-10-17

Carnival of Shadows

by xenubinstudios

Open on itch.io

Velocity

-0.023

Carnival of Shadows Velocity, last 14 days: falling across 14 days, -0.01 to -0.02 (low -0.02, high -0.00).

Confidence 20%

Confidence is the share of Velocity’s four components that could be measured for this game, scaled down again when there is less than a fortnight to measure over. Here, ratings had a measurable acceleration on 2026-10-17. Topic views and comments did not. We also have itch.io chart positions for it, which is the fourth component. It was observed on 14 of the last 14 days. How this is computed.

Which counter moved first

Lead and lag

30 days

Not enough of the ladder to compare.

Only ratings could be plotted, so there is no second counter to compare the timing against.

Lead and lag for Carnival of Shadows, 30 daysLead and lag over 30 days, 2026-09-18 to 2026-10-17, each series scaled to its own change so the timing can be compared. Not enough of the ladder to compare. Ratings: 120 to 132, up 12, most of that change came early in the window.100%50%0%Sep 18Oct 17Ratings

Each line is scaled to its own change across these 30 days, so counters that differ by orders of magnitude can be compared by shape. The vertical gap is what matters: a line higher on the left took its change earlier. The real counts are in the legend, and the day-by-day numbers are below.

Series — over Sep 18 to Oct 17

  • Ratings — people finished and cared120132+12
  • Topic views are not recorded for this game, so that rung is unmeasured — not zero.
  • Comments are not recorded for this game, so that rung is unmeasured — not zero.
The numbers behind the chart

The counter as we recorded it that day, and beside it the share of the window’s change it had reached — the value the chart plots.

DayRatings
Sep 18120
Sep 19121
Sep 20122
Sep 21124
Sep 22124
Sep 23124
Sep 24125
Sep 25125
Sep 26126
Sep 27126
Sep 28128
Sep 29128
Sep 30128
Oct 1129
Oct 2129
Oct 3129
Oct 4130
Oct 5130
Oct 6130
Oct 7130
Oct 8131
Oct 9132
Oct 10132
Oct 11132
Oct 12132
Oct 13132
Oct 14132
Oct 15132
Oct 16132
Oct 17132
What the platform publishes

Counters

Read 2026-10-17
CounterNow7d30d
Ratings conversion1320+12

A blank change is not a zero: the scoring pass refuses a window whose nearest observation is too stale to compare, rather than differencing two points that are not seven days apart.

Not our number

On itch.io's own charts

Categories

ChartNow7d30dHistory
Top sellers · Visual Novel290Position on itch.io's Top sellers · Visual Novel chart across 7 readings: slipping, #115 to #290 (best #115, worst #290).
Top rated · Visual Novel716-7+87Position on itch.io's Top rated · Visual Novel chart across 50 readings: climbing, #915 to #716 (best #709, worst #921).

All of itch.io

ChartNow7d30dHistory
Top rated1,886-16+295Position on itch.io's Top rated chart across 59 readings: climbing, #2492 to #1886 (best #1870, worst #2516).
Top sellers5,800-5,031Position on itch.io's Top sellers chart across 8 readings: slipping, #769 to #5800 (best #769, worst #5800).
Newest7,134-5,350Position on itch.io's Newest chart across 10 readings: slipping, #259 to #7134 (best #259, worst #7134).
New & popular7,165-5,837Position on itch.io's New & popular chart across 16 readings: slipping, #4 to #7165 (best #4, worst #7165).
On 10 tag charts
ChartNow7d30dHistory
Top rated · #vampire1900Position on itch.io's Top rated · #vampire chart across 39 readings: climbing, #24 to #19 (best #19, worst #24).
Top rated · #queer550+11Position on itch.io's Top rated · #queer chart across 39 readings: climbing, #74 to #55 (best #55, worst #74).
Top rated · #lgbtqia600+11Position on itch.io's Top rated · #lgbtqia chart across 39 readings: climbing, #82 to #60 (best #60, worst #82).
Top rated · #renpy115-1+20Position on itch.io's Top rated · #renpy chart across 39 readings: climbing, #158 to #115 (best #114, worst #158).
Top rated · #otome234-1+18Position on itch.io's Top rated · #otome chart across 39 readings: climbing, #277 to #234 (best #233, worst #280).
Top rated · #lgbt2980+34Position on itch.io's Top rated · #lgbt chart across 39 readings: climbing, #370 to #298 (best #298, worst #371).
Top rated · #story-rich306-1+41Position on itch.io's Top rated · #story-rich chart across 39 readings: climbing, #383 to #306 (best #304, worst #384).
Top rated · #interactive-fiction351-1+55Position on itch.io's Top rated · #interactive-fiction chart across 39 readings: climbing, #449 to #351 (best #350, worst #452).
Top rated · #romance489-4+45Position on itch.io's Top rated · #romance chart across 39 readings: climbing, #587 to #489 (best #485, worst #590).
Top rated · #no-ai821-13+91Position on itch.io's Top rated · #no-ai chart across 35 readings: climbing, #988 to #821 (best #808, worst #994).
Everything else we hold

Activity and where to go next

First seen by us
2026-08-20
Price
free
Average rating
4.77 / 5

No devlog has been posted since we started watching on 2026-08-20. itch.io publishes only the most recent devlog date, so anything posted before then leaves no trace here.

Go to the source

We hold counters and metadata only. Nothing on the game’s own page — its description, its screenshots, its build — is republished here, and everything worth reading about it is behind those links.